Telecommunications Spend and Demand Report in Victoria, 2012

The Victorian Government commissioned Deloitte Access Economics to develop a model of Victoria’s telecommunications market to provide a tool for government and market participants to analyse trends, identify unmet demand and to assist in planning for the future. This review is an update of a study undertaken in 2010 for the then Department of Innovation, Industry and Regional Development by Access Economics and Gibson Quai-AAS, with an extension of the projection period out to 2016. The model contains estimates of current (2011) service coverage, demand for services, expenditure and subscriber numbers for 10 telecommunication service categories, as well as forecasts to 2016. The spatial building block of the model and the lowest level of reporting is at the level of Local Government Areas (LGAs). The model also includes broader regional aggregates, and distinguishes between household and business customers. The timing of this modelling exercise, at the early stages of rollout of the Federal Government’s National Broadband Network (NBN) and during a period of rapid development of new applications for telecommunications technologies, is designed to capture and identify recent and forthcoming changes in Victoria’s telecommunications markets. The model has been built with the intention that it can be updated in future years, to include updated data and to reflect emerging market trends.